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Humanoid Robots on the Rise: Industry Advances, Key Players, and Adoption Timelines

Topbots

Tier 2, which includes sales, transportation, and more specialized healthcare jobs, is projected to see adoption by 2036. Morgan Stanley categorizes these industries into three tiers: Tier 1 includes sectors such as forestry, farming, food preparation, and personal care, where adoption is expected to begin around 2028.

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AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined

Cold Takes

As explained in the next footnote, I use the report's figures for transformative AI arriving on the soon side (around 2036). That implies that the 10^30 FLOP needed to train a transformative model could run 10^16 seconds' worth of transformative AI models, or about 300 million years' worth.

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