Scoring forecasts from the 2016 “Expert Survey on Progress in AI”
AI Impacts
MARCH 1, 2023
I judge that the experts expected 9 milestones to have happened by now - and that 10 milestones have now happened. But there are important caveats to this, such as: I have only analysed whether milestones have been publicly met. This means my analysis of how many milestones have been met is probably conservative.
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